Serbia's Student List Wins Parliament, Leaving Brussels Cautiously Hopeful
The protest movement that grew from a deadly railway canopy collapse has swept Serbia's snap election, ending Aleksandar Vučić's 14-year grip on power, but its refusal to sanction Russia complicates any EU reset.
BELGRADE, The students who spent nearly two years in the streets of Serbia walked into the polling booths on Sunday and, by a margin that surprised almost everyone, changed their country's government.
<cite index="10-6,10-7">A student-led opposition movement emerged victorious in Serbia's snap parliamentary election, ending former President Aleksandar Vučić's long grip on power. The Student List's win followed nearly two years of youth-led protests triggered by the death of 16 people in a railway station canopy collapse in the city of Novi Sad in 2024.</cite>
<cite index="10-8,10-9">The Republic Election Commission announced that the Student List had won 52.54 percent of the vote, based on returns from more than 8,000 processed polling stations, while Vučić's United Serbia list secured 39.29 percent.</cite>
<cite index="13-1,13-2">The longtime strongman leader conceded defeat in an election that pitted him and his right-wing party against the diverse student-led movement, in what amounted to a seismic political shift in the Balkan country. Vučić had been endorsed by Russian President Vladimir Putin and had denounced the student movement as a foreign-led attempt to unseat him.</cite>
<cite index="13-5">In conceding, Vučić told supporters that "the Student List has won," though he blamed Serbia's independent media, as well as alleged interference by unnamed European countries and an "American deep state," for the loss.</cite>
In Belgrade's Slavija Square, the celebrations ran through the night. <cite index="12-11,12-12">Most of the country's established opposition parties had stood aside to give the Student List a clear run, and when Vučić conceded defeat shortly after the polls closed, the crowds on the streets erupted.</cite>
Brussels moved with unusual speed to acknowledge the result. <cite index="19-10,19-11,19-12">The European Commission moved fast, with Commission President Ursula von der Leyen congratulating the Student List and writing that the EU stands "ready to support reforms on the rule of law, media freedom, the fight against corruption and strong democratic institutions, and to work together to advance Serbia's future in the European Union."</cite> The Commissioner for Enlargement, Marta Kos, called the result a turning point, describing it as the product of "nearly two years of protests for democracy, the rule of law and the fight against corruption," according to a statement reviewed by Newscord.
Yet the shape of any EU reset is already more complicated than the celebratory mood in Belgrade suggests. <cite index="20-3,20-4,20-5">According to Reuters, the Student List's leading candidates have outlined a foreign policy that would preserve Serbia's longstanding ties with Moscow. The movement has said it does not intend to align with EU sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, and its candidates have also pledged that a future government would halt Serbian arms exports to war zones, including sales to Western countries that subsequently transfer the weapons to Ukraine.</cite>
<cite index="20-6,20-7">Serbia remains heavily dependent on Russian energy supplies, with Gazprom supplying approximately 2.2 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually at below-market prices, according to Reuters.</cite> <cite index="20-8">The Student List has described that relationship as an acute economic dependency rather than a geopolitical alignment</cite>, a distinction Brussels is unlikely to accept as sufficient.
<cite index="25-4,25-5">The declaration on sanctions challenges a central warning made by Vučić during the election campaign and repeated after he conceded defeat. "It won't pass until March or April, you will have sanctions introduced against the Russian Federation," Vučić said after acknowledging his party's defeat.</cite> His successors answered that prediction within hours.
<cite index="10-13,10-14">The new National Assembly must be constituted within 30 days of the final results being certified. A government must be formed within 90 days after that, though the Student List's clear majority removes the need for lengthy coalition talks.</cite>
<cite index="13-10">The student victory echoed the recent electoral defeat of a Vučić ally in Hungary, where youth participation helped oust the autocratic Viktor Orbán after 16 years and bring in a new pro-European government</cite>, a parallel European capitals were quick to draw on Monday.
What Belgrade does with this mandate is the harder question. The students built their movement on demands for accountability and clean government. Translating that into a coherent foreign policy, one that can satisfy a Brussels insisting on Russia sanctions and a resolution to the Kosovo dispute, while managing a population that has not historically been asked to choose between Moscow and the EU, is the work that starts now.
Sources cited:
- Al Jazeera (https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/26/serbia-after-vucic-who-will-be-pm-and-when-will-a-government-be-formed)
- Euronews (https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/25/vucic-concedes-defeat-in-pivotal-serbian-elections-says-student-movement-has-won)
- CNN (https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/25/europe/serbian-strongman-vucic-concedes-defeat-to-student-led-movement-intl-latam)
- NPR (https://www.npr.org/2026/10/26/nx-s1-6016298/serbia-student-list-vucic-election)
- EU Perspectives (https://euperspectives.eu/2026/10/welcome-belgrade-eu-leaders/)
- Hromadske (citing Reuters) (https://hromadske.ua/en/amp/politics/273215-serbias-election-winners-oppose-sanctions-on-russia-and-pledge-to-halt-arms-exports-to-war-zones)
- Clash Report (https://clashreport.com/world/articles/serbia-s-election-winners-reject-russia-sanctions-defying-vu-i-s-predictions-18y8odd0cvc)
- Newscord (https://newscord.org/article/ursula-von-der-leyen-congratulates-serbias-student-list-after-5254-vote--Story_20261026_LaUEabrazalavictoriaaafe9227)
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